Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#309
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#301
Pace75.2#36
Improvement-3.9#328

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#233
First Shot+0.9#151
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#341
Layup/Dunks-0.1#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#182
Freethrows+2.1#49
Improvement+1.0#118

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#331
First Shot-4.5#304
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#341
Layups/Dunks-4.0#315
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#25
Freethrows-2.3#310
Improvement-4.9#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 63   @ Texas L 73-78 4%     0 - 1 +6.1 +2.0 +4.6
  Nov 26, 2016 158   Rice L 79-87 23%     0 - 2 -10.1 -3.0 -6.5
  Nov 30, 2016 45   @ Texas Tech L 48-69 2%     0 - 3 -7.2 -18.6 +11.1
  Dec 03, 2016 261   LIU Brooklyn W 90-79 44%     1 - 3 +2.7 +10.5 -8.2
  Dec 14, 2016 231   @ UNLV L 64-92 23%     1 - 4 -29.9 -10.3 -18.4
  Dec 17, 2016 170   @ Loyola Marymount L 90-91 OT 13%     1 - 5 +1.4 +12.8 -11.3
  Dec 21, 2016 92   @ Memphis L 71-95 6%     1 - 6 -16.6 -2.6 -12.3
  Dec 31, 2016 318   @ Nicholls St. L 84-94 43%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -18.0 -7.0 -9.3
  Jan 02, 2017 249   @ SE Louisiana L 63-74 25%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -13.7 -8.0 -5.7
  Jan 05, 2017 300   Northwestern St. W 84-80 56%     2 - 8 1 - 2 -7.3 -4.2 -3.5
  Jan 07, 2017 189   New Orleans L 72-87 28%     2 - 9 1 - 3 -18.8 +1.3 -20.5
  Jan 11, 2017 233   @ Lamar L 72-87 23%     2 - 10 1 - 4 -17.0 -6.2 -10.2
  Jan 14, 2017 219   Houston Baptist W 82-77 36%     3 - 10 2 - 4 -1.2 +7.2 -8.2
  Jan 21, 2017 228   Stephen F. Austin W 70-68 38%     4 - 10 3 - 4 -4.8 +4.9 -9.4
  Jan 26, 2017 305   Abilene Christian W 82-79 57%     5 - 10 4 - 4 -8.6 +4.3 -12.9
  Jan 28, 2017 314   @ Central Arkansas W 81-80 42%     6 - 10 5 - 4 -6.7 -3.3 -3.4
  Feb 02, 2017 319   McNeese St. L 79-87 63%     6 - 11 5 - 5 -21.1 +0.0 -21.2
  Feb 04, 2017 219   @ Houston Baptist L 70-84 20%     6 - 12 5 - 6 -15.1 -6.2 -8.7
  Feb 09, 2017 228   @ Stephen F. Austin L 79-87 22%     6 - 13 5 - 7 -9.7 +12.5 -22.7
  Feb 11, 2017 246   @ Sam Houston St. L 63-72 24%     6 - 14 5 - 8 -11.6 -8.8 -2.7
  Feb 15, 2017 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 81-97 34%     6 - 15 5 - 9 -21.5 +6.1 -27.8
  Feb 18, 2017 246   Sam Houston St. W 69-53 42%     7 - 15 6 - 9 +8.3 -5.2 +13.3
  Feb 23, 2017 318   Nicholls St. L 68-77 62%     7 - 16 6 - 10 -22.0 -18.1 -3.1
  Mar 01, 2017 305   @ Abilene Christian W 89-75 38%     8 - 16 7 - 10 +7.4 +15.4 -7.6
  Mar 04, 2017 207   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-81 19%     8 - 17 7 - 11 -17.4 -8.8 -8.8
Projected Record 8.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%